ATP Underdog EV

Upcoming ATP matches on Polymarket with expected value for the underdog vs. consensus bookmaker odds.

Odds fetched: 5:48 AM EDT+EV only

EV vs consensus for:

Today · 10:30 AMPolymarket
Alex de Minaur
27, Rank 6
Favorite
70.5%
1.42
bet365 1.36
Pinnacle 1.40
Brandon Nakashima
25, Rank 32
Underdog
29.5%
3.39
bet365 3.20
Pinnacle 3.20
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 31.4% · Polymarket 29.5%
+6.3%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Grok · prob 34.0% · EV
+6.6%
Claude · prob 31.0% · EV
-2.8%
Gemini · prob 29.0% · EV
-8.9%
Today · 11:00 AMPolymarket
Alexander Zverev
29, Rank 3
Favorite
81.5%
1.23
bet365 1.16
Pinnacle 1.19
Raphael Collignon
24, Rank 51
Underdog
18.5%
5.41
bet365 5.00
Pinnacle 5.32
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 19.5% · Polymarket 18.5%
+5.5%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Gemini · prob 15.0% · EV
-20.7%
Today · 12:00 PMPolymarket
U. Humbert
28, Rank 33
Favorite
—
bet365 1.53
Pinnacle 1.60
H. Medjedovic
23, Rank 67
Underdog
—
bet365 2.50
Pinnacle 2.52
Underdog EV vs consensus
Not available on Polymarket
—
All bookmaker odds (13)
Grok · prob 37.0% · EV
-6.6%
Claude · prob 37.0% · EV
-6.5%
Gemini · prob 32.0% · EV
-19.2%
Today · 12:30 PMPolymarket
Francisco Cerundolo
28, Rank 27
Favorite
59.5%
1.68
bet365 1.53
Pinnacle 1.61
Arthur Fery
24, Rank 140
Underdog
40.5%
2.47
bet365 2.50
Pinnacle 2.47
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 38.8% · Polymarket 40.5%
-4.3%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Grok · prob 47.0% · EV
+33.9%
Claude · prob 38.0% · EV
+8.3%
Gemini · prob 40.0% · EV
+15.7%
Today · 12:30 PMPolymarket
Daniil Medvedev
30, Rank 7
Favorite
83.5%
1.20
bet365 1.14
Pinnacle 1.16
Daniel Altmaier
28, Rank 81
Underdog
16.5%
6.06
bet365 5.50
Pinnacle 6.06
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 17.7% · Polymarket 16.5%
+7.4%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Grok · prob 29.0% · EV
+36.8%
Claude · prob 18.0% · EV
-14.9%
Gemini · prob 15.0% · EV
-29.1%
Today · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Felix Auger-Aliassime
26, Rank 4
Favorite
60.5%
1.65
bet365 1.53
Pinnacle 1.62
Frances Tiafoe
28, Rank 26
Underdog
39.5%
2.53
bet365 2.50
Pinnacle 2.46
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 38.5% · Polymarket 39.5%
-2.6%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Grok · prob 42.5% · EV
+3.7%
Claude · prob 44.0% · EV
+7.2%
Gemini · prob 45.0% · EV
+9.7%
Today · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Tommy Paul
29, Rank 28
Favorite
70.5%
1.42
bet365 1.40
Pinnacle 1.39
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
27, Rank 22
Underdog
29.5%
3.39
bet365 3.00
Pinnacle 3.24
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 31.1% · Polymarket 29.5%
+5.3%
All bookmaker odds (12)
Grok · prob 27.0% · EV
-11.2%
Claude · prob 32.0% · EV
+5.3%
Gemini · prob 33.0% · EV
+2.7%